Displaying items by tag: Economy
Gas prices surge by 25% overnight after strikes in Qatar
UK gas prices have surged by around 25% following escalating conflict in the Middle East, raising fresh concerns over energy security and household costs. The spike came after Iranian missile strikes hit a major liquefied natural gas facility in Qatar, causing significant damage and disrupting production. With Britain heavily reliant on imported gas and Europe’s reserves already depleted after a cold winter, markets reacted sharply. Prices for natural gas and oil both rose rapidly, with experts warning this could lead to increased bills for UK households already affected by previous energy crises. Government leaders have described the situation as a pivotal moment, highlighting the risks of dependence on volatile global energy supplies. Calls are growing to accelerate the transition to renewable energy, which could provide greater stability and reduce exposure to international conflicts. Analysts suggest that reducing reliance on gas and expanding domestic renewable sources may offer a more secure and sustainable long-term solution. See
Bank of England says inflation will probably rise due to Iran war
The Bank of England has held interest rates at 3.75% amid growing concerns that conflict in the Middle East will drive up inflation in the UK. The decision follows rising energy prices linked to disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route for global oil and gas supplies. Iranian attacks have significantly reduced shipping through the region, contributing to increased costs for fuel, utilities, and goods. The Bank warned that inflation could rise to around 3.5% in the coming months, reversing earlier expectations of a continued decline. While the rate hold was widely anticipated, it means borrowing costs for households remain high, with mortgage rates already increasing. Officials emphasised that resolving the crisis depends on restoring safe passage through key energy routes. The situation highlights the UK’s vulnerability to global shocks and the wider economic impact of international conflict; policymakers have to 'wait and see' as events continue to unfold.
Egypt: tourism has rebounded since Covid, but many struggling with living costs due to war
Egypt’s tourism sector has rebounded strongly in recent years, reaffirming its importance to the national economy. In 2025 the country welcomed nearly 19 million visitors, a 21% increase from the previous year, while tourism revenues reached €14.17 billion - more than 20% above pre-pandemic levels. This recovery follows the sharp decline in 2020 when travel restrictions caused revenues to fall dramatically. Authorities expect continued growth in 2026, supported by increased air travel, including a significant rise in charter flights, and the development of destinations such as El Alamein, Siwa and the North Coast. The government is investing in infrastructure, with plans for more than 200,000 new hotel rooms and expanded airport capacity. However, due to the new Middle East conflict many Egyptians are at present struggling with rising living costs: higher transport costs are pushing up food prices, leaving both vendors and families facing growing financial strain. See
UK inflation falls to 3%, helped by lower cost of petrol and bread
The UK inflation rate has fallen to 3% in the year to January, down from 3.4% in December, according to the ONS. Economists had predicted the drop, which was driven partly by lower prices for bread, cereals, petrol, meat, and airfares. However, inflation remains above the Bank of England’s 2% target, meaning prices are still rising, just more slowly. Rachel Reeves said government decisions in the November Budget are helping ease pressure on households, while Keir Starmer described cutting the cost of living as his top priority. Critics argue many families are still struggling, pointing to higher unemployment and ongoing business pressures. Some small business owners say transport, employment, and ingredient costs continue to squeeze margins. Energy bills may also fall this spring, with forecasts suggesting a 7% drop in the price cap. Analysts now believe the downward trend could prompt an interest rate cut in March. While the direction is encouraging, many households remain mindful that prices are still significantly higher than five years ago.
Economy grows by worse-than-expected 0.1%
The UK economy grew by just 0.1% in the final quarter of 2025, below the 0.2% forecast by many economists, according to the Office for National Statistics. The figure mirrors growth in the previous quarter, reinforcing concerns that the economy remains sluggish. The services sector showed no growth, manufacturing provided the main boost, and construction recorded its weakest performance in over four years. If measured per head of population – a clearer indicator of living standards – output declined across the second half of the year. Although overall growth for 2025 slightly exceeded that of 2024, unemployment has risen to 5.1%, and small businesses report pressures comparable to the Covid period. Investment is reportedly restrained by higher employment costs and global uncertainties, including international trade tensions. Rachel Reeves defended the Government’s economic plan, highlighting falling inflation and interest rate cuts. However, economists warn that policy clarity and stable foundations are essential if growth is to strengthen meaningfully in 2026.
Inflation rises for first time in five months - but one-off factors blamed
UK inflation has risen for the first time in five months, increasing to 3.4% in the year to December. The rise, though higher than expected, is widely attributed to temporary factors rather than a sustained upward trend. The Office for National Statistics said higher airfares over the Christmas and New Year period were a major contributor, alongside increased tobacco prices following a Budget tax rise. Food prices also edged up, notably for bread, cereals, and vegetables, adding pressure on household budgets. Despite the increase, analysts believe inflation is likely to fall again in the coming months. The Bank of England, which ended 2025 by cutting interest rates to 3.75%, is expected to proceed cautiously when it meets in February, with gradual cuts anticipated later in the year. The Government says reducing the cost of living remains a priority, while critics blame high taxes and borrowing for continued pressure on families. Compared with European neighbours, UK inflation remains relatively high, though forecasts suggest a decline is likely soon.
UK economy grew by 0.3% in November, beating forecasts
The UK economy recorded stronger-than-expected growth in November, expanding by 0.3% and exceeding forecasts of 0.1%. The rebound, after a contraction in October, was driven largely by renewed industrial output and growth in the services sector. A key contributor was the recovery of car production, particularly at Jaguar Land Rover, after a cyber-attack had halted manufacturing for a significant time. Services also benefited from increased activity around the November Budget, including accounting and tax consultancy. Economists welcomed the data but warned that underlying growth remains fragile and uneven, with construction output falling sharply due to adverse weather conditions. While business investment and government spending may support growth in the months ahead, analysts remain divided over whether November represents genuine momentum or merely a temporary rebound. The figures underscore the importance of stable leadership, responsible policy decisions, and long-term investment to sustain recovery amid ongoing cost-of-living pressures and global uncertainty.
Budget: the main headlines
Rachel Reeves has delivered her second Budget against a backdrop of weak economic growth, high inflation and tightening household finances. Seeking to raise revenue without triggering an inflation spike, she avoided the previously signalled rise in income tax rates and instead relied on a wide mix of indirect tax changes and frozen thresholds. Measures include new or higher taxes on wealth, property, tourism, gambling and high-sugar drinks, along with a future per-mile charge for electric vehicles. A major welfare change will see the two-child benefit cap scrapped in April 2026, while benefits rise in line with inflation. Business incentives are also adjusted, including changes to capital allowances and dividend taxation. She has also raised the basic living wage significantly: see Critics warn the strategy adds complexity and prolongs record-high tax levels, raising concerns that further tax rises may still be needed. Reeves positioned the Budget as a necessary step to stabilise public finances while supporting workers and the most vulnerable during economic uncertainty.
Budget: differing views about how to rescue the economy
Kemi Badenoch has warned that the country risks bankruptcy if Labour raises taxes without reducing welfare spending. She accused Rachel Reeves of planning a ‘stealth tax bombshell’ in the upcoming Budget to fund increased benefits, including what most people believe is likely - scrapping the two-child benefit cap to address child poverty. Freezing income tax thresholds is also expected, which would draw more workers into higher tax brackets. Badenoch argued that welfare cuts are necessary for long-term economic stability, saying her party would restore the cap if returned to power. Labour strongly rejected her claims, warning Conservatives would return the country to austerity, resulting in cuts to schools, hospitals, and policing. Other parties also criticised the Conservatives’ stance; Nigel Farage has proposed deeper spending cuts, and the Liberal Democrats have called both major parties punitive toward the public. As competing visions collide, the Budget will be a major test of how Britain balances fairness, economic security, and social responsibility.
USA: longest-ever government shutdown finally ends, both sides bruised
The longest US government shutdown in history has ended after 43 tense days, restoring pay for federal workers and reopening critical services. Yet its conclusion has left both political parties bruised. Senate Democrats triggered the shutdown by refusing to support a temporary funding bill without guarantees to extend health-care subsidies for low-income Americans. When several Democrats defected to jump ship and vote with the Republicans, they received little more than a promise of a future vote, leaving the party’s progressive wing furious and mainstream figures calling the deal a capitulation. Donald Trump, despite moments of apparent wavering, emerged claiming victory, having conceded virtually nothing of substance. With another funding deadline looming in January and millions facing soaring insurance costs, the end of the shutdown brings only temporary relief.